What does it mean when climate models agree? A case for assessing independence among general circulation models

What does it mean when climate models agree? A case for assessing independence among general circulation models Journal Article

Environmental Science & Policy

  • Author(s): Pirtle, Zachary, Meyer, Ryan, Hamilton, Andrew
  • Published: 2010
  • Volume: 13
  • ISBN: 14629011

Abstract: Climate modelers often use agreement among multiple general circulation models (GCMs) as a source of confidence in the accuracy of model projections. However, the significance of model agreement depends on how independent the models are from one another. The climate science literature does not address this. GCMs are independent of, and interdependent on one another, in different ways and degrees. Addressing the issue of model independence is crucial in explaining why agreement between models should boost confidence that their results have basis in reality.

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Pirtle, Zachary, Meyer, Ryan, Hamilton, Andrew, 2010, What does it mean when climate models agree? A case for assessing independence among general circulation models, Volume:13, Journal Article, viewed 13 June 2024, https://www.nintione.com.au/?p=5139.

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