Regional Workforce Futures: An Analysis of the Great Southern, South West and Wheatbelt Regions

Regional Workforce Futures: An Analysis of the Great Southern, South West and Wheatbelt Regions Report

  • Author(s): Tonts, M., Davies, A., Haslam McKenzie, F.
  • Published: 2008
  • Publisher: Institute for Regional Development, University of Western Australia

Abstract: The overall aim of the report is to provide an assessment of regional employment dynamics and future labour demand in the Great Southern, South West, and Wheatbelt regions. More specifically, the report: •Examines the demographic and economic dynamics driving regional labour markets; •Analyses the changing structure of regional labour markets in terms of sector and occupation; •Identifies the major challenges facing employers in the regions; •Develops projections of labour for demand to 2015 for sectors and occupations within the regions. The data sources used in the preparation of this report included: •Australian Bureau of Statistics census, labour force survey, and business data; •Department of Employment and Workplace Relations Small Area Labour Market Data; •Australian Taxation Office data; •A questionnaire survey of 280 employers in the four regions; One of the central objectives of the report was to develop labour force scenarios for specific sectors and occupations within the Great Southern, South West and Wheatbelt. Scenarios were developed using a Dynamic Shift-Share ARIMA model. This model produces total employment, sectoral and occupational scenarios for each region. Geographically, each region has been examined according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ statistical subdivisions. While the dynamics of change are different across the three regions, it is clear that there are important labour force issues that need to be addressed, including: •Strategic planning for changing economic and demographic structures within regions, and the associated emerging demands for labour; •Severe skilled and general labour shortages in a number of sectors; •Challenges in attracting employees to, and retaining employees in, regional areas; •Inter and intra regional competition for labour; •A rapid ageing of the workforce in a number of sectors and locations.

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Tonts, M., Davies, A., Haslam McKenzie, F., 2008, Regional Workforce Futures: An Analysis of the Great Southern, South West and Wheatbelt Regions, Report, viewed 10 August 2022, https://www.nintione.com.au/?p=4046.

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